Did the UN say global warming will exceed 1.5°C within a few years?
Yes. The United Nations Environment Programme says long-term global warming is likely to cross 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels within the next few years.
UNEP's Limiting Overshoot report says the most optimistic scenario would still produce a peak of about 1.8°C if existing climate pledges are fully implemented. Reuters independently reported the projected breach and the report's principal findings.
This is a projection about sustained global warming, not merely a single unusually hot year. UNEP says returning below 1.5°C remains possible but highly uncertain and would require rapid emissions reductions alongside carefully governed carbon removal.
Key takeaway
The 1.5°C threshold is likely to be exceeded, but the height and duration of the overshoot still depend on future action.
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